US import prices rise; underlying imported inflation pressures muted

WASHINGTON: U.S. import prices increased for a third straight month in March amid rises in the costs of energy products and food, but underlying imported inflation pressures were tame.

Import prices rose 0.4% last month after an unrevised 0.3% gain in February, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters had expected import prices, which exclude tariffs, to rise 0.3%

In the 12 months through March, import prices rebounded 0.4%. That was the first year-on-year increase since January 2023, and followed a 0.9% decline in February.

Imported fuel prices increased 4.7% in March after rising 1.3% in February. Petroleum prices surged 6.0%, but natural gas prices tumbled 31.9%. The cost of imported food shot up 1.6% after climbing 0.3% in the prior month.

Excluding fuels and food, import prices were unchanged. These so-called core import prices edged up 0.1% in February. Core import prices fell 0.4% year-on-year in March.

"Inflation pressures may not be raging completely out of control," said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS in New York.Inflation readings were mixed in March, with consumer prices rising solidly while producer prices increased moderately, government data showed this week.

The firmer-than-expected consumer price inflation data in the wake of a strong employment report in March led financial markets and most economists to push back expectations for a first Federal Reserve interest rate cut to September from June

The U.S. central bank has kept its policy rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range since July. It has raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 525 basis points since March 2022.

Prices for imported capital goods dropped 0.3% last month, potentially pointing to a moderation in business investment. The cost of motor vehicles, parts and engines rose 0.2%. Imported consumer goods prices excluding automotives fell 0.3%.

The cost of imported goods from China dipped 0.1% for the second consecutive month. They dropped 2.6% year-on-year in March. Prices of Japanese imports also fell. But prices of goods imported from Canada and Mexico increased solidly.

The report also showed export prices rose 0.3% in March after advancing 0.7% in February. Agricultural export prices fell 0.7%, pulled down by lower prices for soybeans, corn and wheat in March. Meat prices rose. Nonagricultural goods export prices increased 0.4%.

 Export prices fell 1.4% year-on-year in March, the smallest decrease since February 2023, after dropping 2.0% in February.